Perceiving Systems Empirical Inference Probabilistic Numerics Conference Paper 2014

Probabilistic Solutions to Differential Equations and their Application to Riemannian Statistics

Aistats2014

We study a probabilistic numerical method for the solution of both boundary and initial value problems that returns a joint Gaussian process posterior over the solution. Such methods have concrete value in the statistics on Riemannian manifolds, where non-analytic ordinary differential equations are involved in virtually all computations. The probabilistic formulation permits marginalising the uncertainty of the numerical solution such that statistics are less sensitive to inaccuracies. This leads to new Riemannian algorithms for mean value computations and principal geodesic analysis. Marginalisation also means results can be less precise than point estimates, enabling a noticeable speed-up over the state of the art. Our approach is an argument for a wider point that uncertainty caused by numerical calculations should be tracked throughout the pipeline of machine learning algorithms.

Author(s): Philipp Hennig and Soren Hauberg
Book Title: Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics
Volume: 33
Pages: 347-355
Year: 2014
Month: April
Series: JMLR: Workshop and Conference Proceedings
Editors: S Kaski and J Corander
Publisher: Microtome Publishing
Bibtex Type: Conference Paper (inproceedings)
Address: Brookline, MA
Event Name: AISTATS 2014
Event Place: Reykjavik, Iceland
Electronic Archiving: grant_archive
Links:

BibTex

@inproceedings{hennig:aistats:2014,
  title = {Probabilistic Solutions to Differential Equations and their Application to Riemannian Statistics},
  booktitle = {Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics},
  abstract = {We study a probabilistic numerical method for the solution of both
  boundary and initial value problems that returns a joint Gaussian
  process posterior over the solution. Such methods have concrete value
  in the statistics on Riemannian manifolds, where non-analytic ordinary
  differential equations are involved in virtually all computations. The
  probabilistic formulation permits marginalising the uncertainty of the
  numerical solution such that statistics are less sensitive to
  inaccuracies. This leads to new Riemannian algorithms for mean value
  computations and principal geodesic analysis. Marginalisation also
  means results can be less precise than point estimates, enabling a
  noticeable speed-up over the state of the art. Our approach is an
  argument for a wider point that uncertainty caused by numerical
  calculations should be tracked throughout the pipeline of machine
  learning algorithms.},
  volume = {33},
  pages = {347-355},
  series = {JMLR: Workshop and Conference Proceedings},
  editors = { S Kaski and J Corander},
  publisher = {Microtome Publishing},
  address = {Brookline, MA},
  month = apr,
  year = {2014},
  slug = {hennig-aistats-2014},
  author = {Hennig, Philipp and Hauberg, S{o}ren},
  month_numeric = {4}
}