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The predictive simulation of engineering systems increasingly rests on the synthesis of physical models and experimental data. In this context, Bayesian inference establishes a framework for quantifying the encountered uncertainties and fusing the available information. A summary and discussion of some recently emerged methods for uncertainty propagation (polynomial chaos expansions) and related MCMC-free techniques for posterior computation (spectral likelihood expansions, optimal transportation theory) is presented.
Ralf Nagel (ETH Zurich)